Analysis of Precipitation and Evaporation in the Colombian Orinoco According to the Regional Climate Models of the CORDEX-CORE Experiment

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dc.creatorFlorian-Vergara, Carolina
dc.creatorSalas, Hernán D.
dc.creatorBuiles-Jaramillo, Alejandro
dc.date2021-12-17
dc.date.accessioned2025-10-01T23:52:45Z
dc.descriptionWe evaluate the capacity of the Regional Climate Models, included in the regional scale reduction experiment (CORDEX-CORE), to represent the monthly precipitation and evaporation in a watershed of the Colombian Orinoco region. In addition, we use precipitation and evaporation data from sources such as Climate Hazards Center InfraRed Precipitation with Station data, ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis, Global Precipitation Climatology Center and Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam Model. The comparisons between the assemblies of the RCMs and the observations were done using graphical and quantitative methods, among them: box plots, percentages of bias, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, among others. Our results allow concluding that the average precipitation values are adequately represented, in terms of their temporality and magnitude, by the assembly of the RegCM model while the average values of total evaporation are better represented by the assembly of the REMO model in terms of temporality, but not in its magnitude. Furthermore, the long-term flow estimation shows that the total evaporation values provided by the RCMs allow an adequate estimation of the long-term average flow, but not the adequate estimation of the annual flow cycle. This work is a pioneer in the evaluation of the monthly precipitation and evaporation data provided by CORDEX-CORE in the Colombian Orinoco, sets precedents for the incorporation of regional models data for hydrological purposes in poorly instrumented areas of the country, and is the first step towards the evaluation of regional climate change scenarios.en-US
dc.descriptionCon el fin de representar la precipitación y evaporación total mensual en una cuenca hidrográfica del Orinoco colombiano, este trabajo evaluó la capacidad de los modelos climáticos regionales incluidos en el Experimento regional coordinado de reducción de escala (CORDEX-CORE). Para ello, complementariamente, se incluyeron datos de precipitación y evaporación total de fuentes como Climate Hazards Center InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS), el reanálisis atmosférico (ERA5), Global Precipitation Climatology Center (GPCC) y Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam Model (GLEAM). Las comparaciones entre los ensambles de los modelos y las observaciones se hicieron utilizando métodos gráficos y métodos cuantitativos, entre ellos: diagramas de cajas, porcentajes de sesgo, eficiencia de Nash-Sutcliffe, entre otros. Los resultados evidencian que los valores promedio de precipitación están adecuadamente representados, en términos de su temporalidad y magnitud, por el ensamble del modelo RegCM, mientras que los valores promedio de evaporación total están mejor representados por el ensamble del modelo REMO en términos de la temporalidad, más no en su magnitud. Por otra parte, las estimaciones de caudal de largo plazo evidencian que los valores de evaporación total proporcionados por los modelos permiten una adecuada estimación del caudal promedio de largo plazo, pero no la adecuada estimación del ciclo anual de caudales. Este trabajo es pionero en la evaluación de los datos de precipitación y evaporación total mensual suministrados por CORDEX-CORE en el Orinoco colombiano, sienta precedentes para la incorporación de datos de modelos regionales para fines hidrológicos en zonas poco instrumentadas del país, y es el primer paso hacia la evaluación de escenarios regionalizados de cambio climático.  es-ES
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dc.identifierhttps://revistas.itm.edu.co/index.php/tecnologicas/article/view/2144
dc.identifier10.22430/22565337.2144
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12622/7806
dc.languagespa
dc.publisherInstituto Tecnológico Metropolitano (ITM)es-ES
dc.relationhttps://revistas.itm.edu.co/index.php/tecnologicas/article/view/2144/2236
dc.relationhttps://revistas.itm.edu.co/index.php/tecnologicas/article/view/2144/2237
dc.relationhttps://revistas.itm.edu.co/index.php/tecnologicas/article/view/2144/2238
dc.relationhttps://revistas.itm.edu.co/index.php/tecnologicas/article/view/2144/2259
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dc.rightsDerechos de autor 2021 TecnoLógicases-ES
dc.sourceTecnoLógicas; Vol. 24 No. 52 (2021); e2144en-US
dc.sourceTecnoLógicas; Vol. 24 Núm. 52 (2021); e2144es-ES
dc.source2256-5337
dc.source0123-7799
dc.subjectMonthly precipitationen-US
dc.subjectMonthly evaporationen-US
dc.subjectWater Balanceen-US
dc.subjectModel Comparisonen-US
dc.subjectRegional Climate Modelsen-US
dc.subjectPerformance assessmenten-US
dc.subjectPrecipitación mensuales-ES
dc.subjectevaporación mensuales-ES
dc.subjectbalance hídricoes-ES
dc.subjectcomparación de modeloses-ES
dc.subjectmodelos climáticos regionaleses-ES
dc.subjectevaluación de desempeñoes-ES
dc.titleAnalysis of Precipitation and Evaporation in the Colombian Orinoco According to the Regional Climate Models of the CORDEX-CORE Experimenten-US
dc.titleAnálisis de la precipitación y la evaporación en el Orinoco colombiano según los modelos climáticos regionales del experimento CORDEX-COREes-ES
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.typeResearch Papersen-US
dc.typeArtículos de investigaciónes-ES

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